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GBP/CAD: Triangle Pattern Nearing Completion Ahead of BOE Catalyst

GBP/CAD is currently displaying a textbook Elliott Wave motive structure on the daily timeframe, with a completed Wave 3 and an ongoing Wave 4 correction. Based on the price structure and time symmetry, we believe Wave 4 is unfolding as a contracting triangle — a high-probability continuation pattern that often precedes sharp directional moves.

2/5/2026

Elliott Wave Structure

  • Wave 2 unfolded as a Flat correction — a sideways, range-bound structure.

  • Wave 4 appears to be forming a contracting triangle, offering alternation in both form and function, a hallmark of a balanced motive sequence.

  • Triangles often conclude near major fundamental catalysts — and tonight’s Bank of England (BOE) interest rate decision and board meeting could be the precise trigger that completes Wave E and launches Wave 5.

Key Technical Zones

  • Wave E Support Zone:
    – 1.8453 (61.8% retracement of Wave C vs. A)
    – 1.8212 (23.6% retracement of Wave 3)

  • Breakout Level:
    – A decisive move above 1.8780, the upper triangle boundary, would signal the completion of the triangle and the beginning of Wave 5.

  • Wave 5 Fibonacci Target:
    2.0473 (61.8% extension of Wave 1 projected from Wave 4 termination)

Trading Insight

What makes triangle patterns attractive is their tendency to build compression and release with momentum. A confirmed thrust from Wave E, followed by a clean breakout through the upper trendline, could signal the beginning of a powerful upside move toward our projected target at 2.0473.

This setup aligns both structurally and fundamentally, creating an excellent potential opportunity — especially for swing traders focused on structure-based entries and high risk-reward profiles.

📅 BOE Watch
Keep a close eye on the BOE announcement. Triangles often complete with news-driven volatility, and this release could mark the end of Wave E and spark Wave 5’s vertical lift-off.

Stay updated with our latest market insights on XAUUSD (Gold).

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A chart of Gbpcad Fourth Wave Triangle on the daily timeframe
A chart of Gbpcad Fourth Wave Triangle on the daily timeframe

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